Love your last 2 posts 2Cat, makes me think.
Perhaps 80% of all methods pass x amount of spins on their first test run?
Perhaps in the short term there is an accumulative advantage that keeps adding up?
For example, if ignatus added up all his accumulated wins for the first test he ran for each method he selected he might be in the plus?
I think being tactical about how you play the first and only time you play a method might be successful longterm?
By this I mean playing methods with a not to high progression sequence (or flat betting) and stopping when you win x amount after x amount of spins or losing so much after x amount of spins while still being ahead etc...
In essence, either the majority of methods played once will win or the majority of methods played once will lose.
A simple example,
First method:
bet against HHH landing, a 3 step progression of 7 units.
play for 8 wins or a loss before this point. If you pass 8 wins keep playing until you lose, then stop playing the method.
This is just a simple example, the same concept applies for more intricate methods.
Perhaps in the short term methods will perform above expectation, we know that in the longterm they will not....
Perhaps 80% of all methods pass x amount of spins on their first test run?
Perhaps in the short term there is an accumulative advantage that keeps adding up?
For example, if ignatus added up all his accumulated wins for the first test he ran for each method he selected he might be in the plus?
I think being tactical about how you play the first and only time you play a method might be successful longterm?
By this I mean playing methods with a not to high progression sequence (or flat betting) and stopping when you win x amount after x amount of spins or losing so much after x amount of spins while still being ahead etc...
In essence, either the majority of methods played once will win or the majority of methods played once will lose.
A simple example,
First method:
bet against HHH landing, a 3 step progression of 7 units.
play for 8 wins or a loss before this point. If you pass 8 wins keep playing until you lose, then stop playing the method.
This is just a simple example, the same concept applies for more intricate methods.
Perhaps in the short term methods will perform above expectation, we know that in the longterm they will not....